Belgium · Top flight
Pro League
Belgium's top flight, where the regular season is followed by play-off rounds that decide the title, the European places and relegation. The split changes the incentives in the final weeks, which a model has to take into account rather than treating every match the same.
- Season 2026/2027
- 18 clubs
- Autumn–spring season
Pro League xG table 2026/2027
Pro League 2026/2027: Club Brugge lead on expected points with 22.9. See every club's expected goals (xG), xG against (xGA) and expected points, from 99 matches.
Overperforming most: Gent (+8.9 points). Underperforming most: Sint-Truiden (−7.4).
Updated with matches to 8 November 2026.
Real points against expected points
Club Brugge+5.1
Sporting Charleroi+4.1
Union Saint-Gilloise+8.6
Gent+8.9
Genk−4.0
Anderlecht+1.0
Sint-Truiden−7.4
Standard Liège−1.0
Westerlo+0.3
OH Leuven−1.0
Zulte-Waregem−1.9
Cercle Brugge−3.6
Antwerp−1.1
La Louvière−4.8
Mechelen+0.4
Lommel SK+4.8
KV Kortrijk−6.8
SK Beveren+0.5
xG, xGA and expected points
Pro League table| # | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 28.9 | 13.4 | 22.9 |
| 2 | Sporting Charleroi | 24.9 | 11.9 | 22.9 |
| 3 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 21.1 | 12.3 | 20.4 |
| 4 | Gent | 16.7 | 10.9 | 19.2 |
| 5 | Genk | 21.2 | 13.0 | 19.0 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 18.2 | 12.0 | 19.0 |
| 7 | Sint-Truiden | 24.6 | 18.2 | 18.4 |
| 8 | Standard Liège | 20.3 | 19.9 | 16.0 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 17.6 | 21.8 | 13.7 |
| 10 | OH Leuven | 16.2 | 23.3 | 13.0 |
| 11 | Zulte-Waregem | 13.6 | 17.3 | 12.9 |
| 12 | Cercle Brugge | 15.6 | 20.0 | 12.6 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 16.7 | 24.1 | 12.1 |
| 14 | La Louvière | 15.7 | 23.0 | 11.8 |
| 15 | Mechelen | 12.1 | 17.2 | 11.6 |
| 16 | Lommel SK | 13.2 | 20.5 | 11.2 |
| 17 | KV Kortrijk | 12.5 | 20.5 | 10.8 |
| 18 | SK Beveren | 12.2 | 22.0 | 9.5 |
xG: expected goals. xGA: expected goals against. xGD: the difference. xPts: expected points. From 99 of 99 finished regular-season matches: a match with no xG is left out of both figures, so points can be below the real table's. Points deductions are not counted. Early in a season most of a gap is luck, and a gap is no forecast.
xG table questions
What is the Pro League xG table?
It ranks Pro League clubs by expected points, what their chances were worth, instead of the points they won. xG (expected goals) is how likely each shot was to be scored, added up over a match.
How are expected points calculated?
The two clubs' xG in a match give the chances of a win, a draw and a loss through two Poisson distributions. Three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw is the match's expected points, and a club's figure is the sum of its matches. Providers that simulate each shot get figures close to these, not the same.
Which Pro League club is the luckiest on expected points?
Gent: 28 points from 19.2 expected, a gap of +8.9. Furthest the other way is Sint-Truiden: 11 points from 18.4 expected. Part of a gap can be finishing or goalkeeping rather than luck.
Does a gap mean results will change?
No. A club above its expected points may fall back, or may keep taking its chances. The gap shows what has happened, not what comes next, and it says nothing about the odds on a match.