France · Top flight

Ligue 1

France's top flight and one of Europe's great exporters of talent, so squads can change sharply from one season to the next — the point where historical data needs the most care. The bottom two are relegated directly and the 16th-placed club faces a play-off.

Season 2026/2027
18 clubs
Autumn–spring season

Ligue 1 xG table 2026/2027

Ligue 1 2026/2027: Paris Saint Germain lead on expected points with 20.3. See every club's expected goals (xG), xG against (xGA) and expected points, from 90 matches.

Overperforming most: LOSC Lille (+8.4 points). Underperforming most: Le Havre (−12.5).

Updated with matches to 8 November 2026.

Real points against expected points

The arrow runs from expected to real points: solid above expected, dashed below.

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Paris Saint Germain
+2.7
Paris
+3.0
Brest
−1.6
Olympique Lyonnais
+0.7
Toulouse
−2.5
Rennes
+1.4
Le Havre
−12.5
Lorient
+0.8
Lens
−0.6
Olympique Marseille
+4.8
Nice
+4.2
LOSC Lille
+8.4
Monaco
+3.6
Le Mans
−4.3
Troyes
−3.9
Angers SCO
−2.6
Strasbourg
−0.4
Auxerre
−0.2

xG, xGA and expected points

Ligue 1 table

#
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	22.4	10.8	+11.7	20.3	23	+2.7
2	Paris	10	15.8	10.4	+5.4	17.1	20	+3.0
3	Brest	10	18.1	12.4	+5.7	16.6	15	−1.6
4	Olympique Lyonnais	10	16.1	11.4	+4.7	16.4	17	+0.7
5	Toulouse	10	16.0	14.1	+1.9	15.5	13	−2.5
6	Rennes	10	19.1	18.9	+0.2	14.6	16	+1.4
7	Le Havre	10	16.7	15.6	+1.1	14.5	2	−12.5
8	Lorient	10	11.9	11.1	+0.8	14.2	15	+0.8
9	Lens	10	15.6	15.4	+0.2	13.6	13	−0.6
10	Olympique Marseille	10	16.6	18.8	−2.3	13.2	18	+4.8
11	Nice	10	13.2	14.5	−1.3	12.9	17	+4.2
12	LOSC Lille	10	11.6	14.3	−2.7	12.6	21	+8.4
13	Monaco	10	12.2	14.3	−2.1	12.4	16	+3.6
14	Le Mans	10	13.8	17.4	−3.7	12.3	8	−4.3
15	Troyes	10	11.9	14.4	−2.5	11.9	8	−3.9
16	Angers SCO	10	13.2	18.3	−5.1	10.6	8	−2.6
17	Strasbourg	10	12.9	17.4	−4.5	10.4	10	−0.4
18	Auxerre	10	11.1	18.7	−7.6	10.2	10	−0.2

xG: expected goals. xGA: expected goals against. xGD: the difference. xPts: expected points. From 90 of 90 finished regular-season matches: a match with no xG is left out of both figures, so points can be below the real table's. Points deductions are not counted. Early in a season most of a gap is luck, and a gap is no forecast.

xG table questions

What is the Ligue 1 xG table?

It ranks Ligue 1 clubs by expected points, what their chances were worth, instead of the points they won. xG (expected goals) is how likely each shot was to be scored, added up over a match.

How are expected points calculated?

The two clubs' xG in a match give the chances of a win, a draw and a loss through two Poisson distributions. Three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw is the match's expected points, and a club's figure is the sum of its matches. Providers that simulate each shot get figures close to these, not the same.

Which Ligue 1 club is the luckiest on expected points?

LOSC Lille: 21 points from 12.6 expected, a gap of +8.4. Furthest the other way is Le Havre: 2 points from 14.5 expected. Part of a gap can be finishing or goalkeeping rather than luck.

Does a gap mean results will change?

No. A club above its expected points may fall back, or may keep taking its chances. The gap shows what has happened, not what comes next, and it says nothing about the odds on a match.