
Sweden · Top flight
Allsvenskan
Sweden's top flight, played on a spring-to-autumn calendar. From April to November it supplies a steady run of fixtures while much of Europe is on its summer break. The bottom two are relegated and the 14th-placed club faces a play-off.
- Season 2026
- 16 clubs
- Calendar-year season
Allsvenskan xG table 2026
Allsvenskan 2026: Hammarby lead on expected points with 49.6. See every club's expected goals (xG), xG against (xGA) and expected points, from 191 matches.
Overperforming most: Västerås SK (+12.1 points). Underperforming most: Kalmar (−14.6).
Updated with matches to 18 October 2026.
Real points against expected points
Hammarby−3.6
Sirius+11.0
Djurgården+5.1
Häcken+0.9
GAIS−8.9
IFK Göteborg+0.5
Elfsborg+5.7
Kalmar−14.6
Malmö FF+2.8
AIK+2.8
Brommapojkarna+1.0
Mjällby−3.6
Västerås SK+12.1
Degerfors−4.5
Örgryte−3.7
Halmstad−6.2
xG, xGA and expected points
Allsvenskan table| # | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54.8 | 24.5 | 49.6 | |
| 2 | 46.9 | 26.7 | 44.0 | |
| 3 | 45.2 | 29.8 | 41.9 | |
| 4 | 43.7 | 31.0 | 41.1 | |
| 5 | 41.7 | 32.1 | 38.9 | |
| 6 | 38.9 | 35.5 | 35.5 | |
| 7 | 35.5 | 31.3 | 35.4 | |
| 8 | 32.2 | 32.3 | 33.6 | |
| 9 | 35.6 | 35.6 | 33.2 | |
| 10 | 39.2 | 43.7 | 31.2 | |
| 11 | 31.1 | 38.2 | 29.0 | |
| 12 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 26.6 | |
| 13 | 28.3 | 41.7 | 25.9 | |
| 14 | 25.4 | 37.1 | 24.5 | |
| 15 | 26.8 | 50.1 | 21.7 | |
| 16 | 27.9 | 52.8 | 20.2 |
xG: expected goals. xGA: expected goals against. xGD: the difference. xPts: expected points. From 191 of 191 finished regular-season matches: a match with no xG is left out of both figures, so points can be below the real table's. Points deductions are not counted. Early in a season most of a gap is luck, and a gap is no forecast.
xG table questions
What is the Allsvenskan xG table?
It ranks Allsvenskan clubs by expected points, what their chances were worth, instead of the points they won. xG (expected goals) is how likely each shot was to be scored, added up over a match.
How are expected points calculated?
The two clubs' xG in a match give the chances of a win, a draw and a loss through two Poisson distributions. Three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw is the match's expected points, and a club's figure is the sum of its matches. Providers that simulate each shot get figures close to these, not the same.
Which Allsvenskan club is the luckiest on expected points?
Västerås SK: 38 points from 25.9 expected, a gap of +12.1. Furthest the other way is Kalmar: 19 points from 33.6 expected. Part of a gap can be finishing or goalkeeping rather than luck.
Does a gap mean results will change?
No. A club above its expected points may fall back, or may keep taking its chances. The gap shows what has happened, not what comes next, and it says nothing about the odds on a match.