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Norway · Top flight
Eliteserien
Norway's top flight, played from spring to late autumn. Artificial pitches at several grounds, long away trips and a calendar that runs through Europe's summer break give it a rhythm of its own — and give us fixtures when most major leagues are idle.
Eliteserien 2026: Bodø / Glimt lead on expected points with 57.5. See every club's expected goals (xG), xG against (xGA) and expected points, from 207 matches.
Overperforming most: Viking (+12.7 points). Underperforming most: Start (−9.9).
Updated with matches to 8 November 2026.
Bodø / Glimt
Viking
Molde
Rosenborg
Tromsø
Sarpsborg 08
Lillestrøm
Vålerenga
Brann
Sandefjord
HamKam
Start
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund
KFUM| # | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodø / Glimt | 70.0 | 26.7 | 57.5 |
| 2 | Viking | 61.8 | 37.3 | 49.3 |
| 3 | Molde | 57.2 | 37.2 | 46.6 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 49.2 | 37.7 | 43.6 |
| 5 | Tromsø | 42.7 | 37.8 | 40.6 |
| 6 | Sarpsborg 08 | 47.2 | 43.7 | 38.0 |
| 7 | Lillestrøm | 44.4 | 43.5 | 36.6 |
| 8 | Vålerenga | 46.3 | 44.4 | 36.0 |
| 9 | Brann | 47.1 | 48.6 | 35.3 |
| 10 | Sandefjord | 36.3 | 48.7 | 30.3 |
| 11 | HamKam | 35.8 | 47.5 | 29.7 |
| 12 | Start | 38.4 | 52.6 | 28.9 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 40.7 | 56.9 | 28.4 |
| 14 | Fredrikstad | 33.4 | 50.1 | 27.6 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 34.3 | 52.9 | 26.9 |
| 16 | KFUM | 32.4 | 51.7 | 25.8 |
xG: expected goals. xGA: expected goals against. xGD: the difference. xPts: expected points. From 207 of 207 finished regular-season matches: a match with no xG is left out of both figures, so points can be below the real table's. Points deductions are not counted. Early in a season most of a gap is luck, and a gap is no forecast.
It ranks Eliteserien clubs by expected points, what their chances were worth, instead of the points they won. xG (expected goals) is how likely each shot was to be scored, added up over a match.
The two clubs' xG in a match give the chances of a win, a draw and a loss through two Poisson distributions. Three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw is the match's expected points, and a club's figure is the sum of its matches. Providers that simulate each shot get figures close to these, not the same.
Viking: 62 points from 49.3 expected, a gap of +12.7. Furthest the other way is Start: 19 points from 28.9 expected. Part of a gap can be finishing or goalkeeping rather than luck.
No. A club above its expected points may fall back, or may keep taking its chances. The gap shows what has happened, not what comes next, and it says nothing about the odds on a match.