Belgium · Top flight
Pro League
Belgium's top flight, where the regular season is followed by play-off rounds that decide the title, the European places and relegation. The split changes the incentives in the final weeks, which a model has to take into account rather than treating every match the same.
6 Pro League seasons in Kepler's data, 2021/2022 to 2026/2027, averaging 2.85 goals per match.
Top of the table: 2025/2026 Union Saint-Gilloise, 2024/2025 Genk, 2023/2024 Union Saint-Gilloise, 2022/2023 Genk, 2021/2022 Union Saint-Gilloise.
| Season | Top of the table | Pts | Matches | Goals per match | Home wins | Draws | Away wins | BTTS | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/2027In progress |  Gent | 22 | 72 | 3.03 | 49% | 18% | 33% | 43% | 61% |
| 2025/2026 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 66 | 240 | 2.62 | 41% | 26% | 33% | 54% | 47% |
| 2024/2025 |  Genk | 68 | 239 | 2.68 | 46% | 29% | 26% | 53% | 50% |
| 2023/2024 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 70 | 240 | 2.80 | 45% | 27% | 28% | 55% | 54% |
| 2022/2023 | Genk | 75 | 304 | 3.02 | 44% | 22% | 34% | 56% | 58% |
| 2021/2022 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 74 | 304 | 2.93 | 41% | 22% | 36% | 53% | 55% |
Regular season only: play-offs and split-season rounds are not included, and neither are points deductions.
