SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04: predictions, H2H and market odds

SC Freiburg have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.49 expected goals for, 1.12 against). Schalke 04 have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.75 expected goals for, 1.69 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of SC Freiburg's recent matches and 40% of Schalke 04's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings SC Freiburg won 2, Schalke 04 won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 Apr 2023, finished SC Freiburg 4–0 Schalke 04.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.54–0.85 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.