TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: predictions, H2H and market odds

TSG Hoffenheim have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (1.40 expected goals for, 1.36 against). Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.78 expected goals for, 1.72 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of TSG Hoffenheim's recent matches and 80% of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's; 90% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings TSG Hoffenheim won 3, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 6 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.