Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: predictions, H2H and market odds

Paderborn have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 2.17 against). Hamburger SV have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.56 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Paderborn's recent matches and 60% of Hamburger SV's; 60% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 8 meetings Paderborn won 4, Hamburger SV won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 2 Mar 2025, finished Paderborn 2–0 Hamburger SV.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. Kepler's model projects 1.05–0.95 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.