FC Köln vs Schalke 04: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Köln have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.65 expected goals for, 1.58 against). Schalke 04 have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.52 expected goals for, 1.81 against).

Both teams scored in 90% of FC Köln's recent matches and 30% of Schalke 04's; 80% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings FC Köln won 3, Schalke 04 won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 9 Feb 2025, finished FC Köln 1–0 Schalke 04.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kepler's model projects 1.27–0.83 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.