FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Augsburg have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (2.25 expected goals for, 2.22 against). FC Union Berlin have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.87 expected goals for, 2.10 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of FC Augsburg's recent matches and 50% of FC Union Berlin's; 90% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings FC Augsburg won 4, FC Union Berlin won 2 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished FC Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. Kepler's model projects 1.64–1.09 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.