SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: predictions, H2H and market odds

SC Freiburg have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.35 expected goals for, 1.29 against). Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 2.45 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of SC Freiburg's recent matches and 50% of Borussia Mönchengladbach's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings SC Freiburg won 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 0 and 5 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%. Kepler's model projects 1.75–1.29 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.