FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: predictions, H2H and market odds

FSV Mainz 05 have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.87 expected goals for, 1.37 against). Eintracht Frankfurt have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.45 expected goals for, 2.32 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of FSV Mainz 05's recent matches and 100% of Eintracht Frankfurt's; 60% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings FSV Mainz 05 won 2, Eintracht Frankfurt won 4 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. Kepler's model projects 1.74–1.42 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.