FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Köln have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.69 expected goals for, 1.45 against). Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 2.66 against).

Both teams scored in 100% of FC Köln's recent matches and 40% of Borussia Mönchengladbach's; 80% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 8 meetings FC Köln won 3, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished FC Köln 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 63%. Kepler's model projects 1.67–1.48 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.