FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Augsburg have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (2.27 expected goals for, 2.08 against). FC Bayern München have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 3.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (2.37 expected goals for, 1.37 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of FC Augsburg's recent matches and 60% of FC Bayern München's; 90% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings FC Augsburg won 3, FC Bayern München won 7 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished FC Bayern München 1–2 FC Augsburg.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 86%. Kepler's model projects 1.05–2.89 in expected goals, with 1–2 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.