FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Augsburg have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (2.29 expected goals for, 1.81 against). Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (2.04 expected goals for, 1.79 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of FC Augsburg's recent matches and 80% of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's; 80% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings FC Augsburg won 4, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 6 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%. Kepler's model projects 1.15–1.90 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.