Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: predictions, H2H and market odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (1.36 expected goals for, 2.49 against). TSG Hoffenheim have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (1.28 expected goals for, 1.38 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent matches and 80% of TSG Hoffenheim's; 70% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Borussia Mönchengladbach won 6, TSG Hoffenheim won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 TSG Hoffenheim.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%. Kepler's model projects 1.85–1.73 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.