Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05: predictions, H2H and market odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 2.57 against). FSV Mainz 05 have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.84 expected goals for, 1.40 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent matches and 60% of FSV Mainz 05's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 and 6 ended level. The most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 63%. Kepler's model projects 1.42–1.38 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.