Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig: predictions, H2H and market odds

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.98 expected goals for, 1.79 against). RB Leipzig have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (2.22 expected goals for, 1.48 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent matches and 70% of RB Leipzig's; 80% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 6, RB Leipzig won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 70%. Kepler's model projects 1.95–1.37 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.