John Busby referee stats
John Busby has refereed 153 matches in the leagues we cover since August 2021, the latest in the Championship.
Cards: 3.90 a match, against an average of 4.03 in the same leagues and seasons (−0.13). Fouls: 21.2 a match, against 21.9.
Penalties: 0.17 a match over the 95 matches with a complete penalty count, against 0.19.
Goals: 2.54 a match, against 2.55; over 2.5 goals in 47% of matches, against 48%.
Decided by the referee
About half of a difference here carries over to a referee's next matches.
- Cards
- 3.90
- League 4.03
- Yellow cards
- 3.80
- League 3.87
- Red cards
- 0.11
- League 0.15
- Fouls
- 21.2
- League 21.9
Decided by the teams
Differences here are mostly chance: goals do not follow the referee.
- Goals
- 2.54
- League 2.55
- Over 2.5
- 47%
- League 48%
- Both teams score
- 52%
- League 51%
- Home wins
- 37%
- League 43%
What to expect next
- Cards against the league average
- −0.10 a match
- Fouls against the league average
- −0.5 a match
A record is part referee and part luck. Over 152 matches, about 76% of a difference in cards has held in later matches, so this is the difference to expect, not the full −0.13.
How much referees really change: our study →Next appointments
- 24 Oct · 11:30Charlton Athletic – Norwich CityChampionship
Recent matches
Season by season
| Season | League | Matches | Cards | League | Fouls | Goals | Over 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/2027 | Championship | 5 | 3.60 | 4.23 | 23.0 | 3.80 | 80% |
| 2026/2027 | League One | 1 | 4.00 | 3.97 | 27.0 | 2.00 | 0% |
| 2025/2026 | Championship | 20 | 4.45 | 4.12 | 21.2 | 2.55 | 45% |
| 2025/2026 | League One | 3 | 4.00 | 4.03 | 21.0 | 2.67 | 67% |
| 2024/2025 | Championship | 28 | 3.41 | 4.17 | 21.4 | 2.68 | 54% |
| 2024/2025 | League One | 1 | 2.00 | 4.20 | 15.0 | 4.00 | 100% |
| 2023/2024 | Championship | 22 | 4.14 | 4.18 | 22.5 | 3.09 | 59% |
| 2023/2024 | League One | 5 | 4.60 | 4.30 | 24.4 | 2.20 | 40% |
| 2023/2024 | League Two | 3 | 4.33 | 4.21 | 23.0 | 2.33 | 33% |
| 2022/2023 | Championship | 26 | 3.77 | 3.93 | 20.1 | 2.15 | 39% |
| 2022/2023 | League One | 6 | 4.17 | 3.78 | 21.2 | 1.83 | 17% |
| 2022/2023 | League Two | 1 | 4.00 | 3.57 | 31.0 | 1.00 | 0% |
| 2021/2022 | Championship | 19 | 4.21 | 3.88 | 19.3 | 2.32 | 37% |
| 2021/2022 | League One | 5 | 3.20 | 3.71 | 18.2 | 3.60 | 60% |
| 2021/2022 | League Two | 8 | 3.25 | 3.64 | 23.3 | 1.62 | 50% |
Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.