Cardiff City vs Watford: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cardiff City have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.65 expected goals for, 1.82 against). Watford have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.28 expected goals for, 1.49 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Cardiff City's recent matches and 50% of Watford's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Cardiff City won 3, Watford won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Jan 2025, finished Cardiff City 1–1 Watford.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%. Kepler's model projects 1.28–1.19 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.