Sheffield United vs Derby County: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sheffield United have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.45 against). Derby County have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.89 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Sheffield United's recent matches and 50% of Derby County's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Sheffield United won 4, Derby County won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Derby County 1–2 Sheffield United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.