Wycombe Wanderers vs Milton Keynes Dons: predictions, H2H and market odds

Wycombe Wanderers have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded (1.43 expected goals for, 1.61 against). Milton Keynes Dons have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 1.25 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Wycombe Wanderers's recent matches and 70% of Milton Keynes Dons's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Wycombe Wanderers won 2, Milton Keynes Dons won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Apr 2023, finished Wycombe Wanderers 2–2 Milton Keynes Dons.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kepler's model projects 1.80–0.85 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.