Luton Town vs Leicester City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Luton Town have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.38 expected goals for, 1.34 against). Leicester City have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.59 expected goals for, 1.15 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Luton Town's recent matches and 60% of Leicester City's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%. Kepler's model projects 2.09–1.36 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.