AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers: predictions, H2H and market odds

AFC Wimbledon have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (0.92 expected goals for, 1.87 against). Wycombe Wanderers have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (1.48 expected goals for, 1.32 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of AFC Wimbledon's recent matches and 80% of Wycombe Wanderers's; 40% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings AFC Wimbledon won 1, Wycombe Wanderers won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, finished Wycombe Wanderers 2–0 AFC Wimbledon.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.03–1.62 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.