Wigan Athletic vs Milton Keynes Dons: predictions, H2H and market odds

Wigan Athletic have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.04 expected goals for, 1.12 against). Milton Keynes Dons have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 1.20 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Wigan Athletic's recent matches and 60% of Milton Keynes Dons's; 40% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 2 meetings Wigan Athletic won 0, Milton Keynes Dons won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 12 Mar 2022, finished Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Wigan Athletic.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.08–0.83 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.