Stockport County vs Barnsley: predictions, H2H and market odds

Stockport County have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.50 expected goals for, 1.39 against). Barnsley have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.12 expected goals for, 1.33 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Stockport County's recent matches and 60% of Barnsley's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 4 meetings Stockport County won 2, Barnsley won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Barnsley 1–3 Stockport County.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 69%. Kepler's model projects 2.17–1.17 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.