Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle: predictions, H2H and market odds

Stevenage have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.22 expected goals for, 0.82 against). Plymouth Argyle have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.67 expected goals for, 1.18 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Stevenage's recent matches and 40% of Plymouth Argyle's; 40% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 2 meetings Stevenage won 0, Plymouth Argyle won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Mar 2026, finished Plymouth Argyle 1–0 Stevenage.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.13–1.19 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.