Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sheffield Wednesday have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.72 expected goals for, 1.37 against). AFC Wimbledon have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (0.94 expected goals for, 1.64 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Sheffield Wednesday's recent matches and 30% of AFC Wimbledon's; 70% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Sheffield Wednesday won 1, AFC Wimbledon won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 2 Apr 2022, finished Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 AFC Wimbledon.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 2.11–0.68 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.