Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon: predictions, H2H and market odds

Plymouth Argyle have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.71 expected goals for, 1.09 against). AFC Wimbledon have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (0.91 expected goals for, 1.36 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Plymouth Argyle's recent matches and 20% of AFC Wimbledon's; 50% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Plymouth Argyle won 3, AFC Wimbledon won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth Argyle.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 2.12–0.87 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.