Peterborough United vs Burton Albion: predictions, H2H and market odds

Peterborough United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.03 expected goals for, 2.15 against). Burton Albion have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.04 expected goals for, 1.31 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Peterborough United's recent matches and 70% of Burton Albion's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Peterborough United won 4, Burton Albion won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Peterborough United 1–1 Burton Albion.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. Kepler's model projects 1.69–1.17 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.