Oxford United vs Burton Albion: predictions, H2H and market odds

Oxford United have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.57 against). Burton Albion have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.32 expected goals for, 1.15 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Oxford United's recent matches and 80% of Burton Albion's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Oxford United won 5, Burton Albion won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 6 Apr 2024, finished Burton Albion 0–4 Oxford United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 1.93–1.02 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.