Milton Keynes Dons vs Peterborough United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Milton Keynes Dons have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.41 against). Peterborough United have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.15 expected goals for, 2.46 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Milton Keynes Dons's recent matches and 60% of Peterborough United's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Milton Keynes Dons won 0, Peterborough United won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 29 Dec 2022, finished Peterborough United 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%. Kepler's model projects 1.63–1.48 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.