Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Milton Keynes Dons have won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.12 expected goals for, 1.41 against). Luton Town have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.37 expected goals for, 1.67 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Milton Keynes Dons's recent matches and 80% of Luton Town's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.23–1.82 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.