Kick-off: Thu, 17 Sept 2026 · 19:30 UTCStadium: Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
Málaga and Villarreal met on Thursday, 17 September 2026 (La Liga); it finished Málaga 1–3 Villarreal. The match was played at Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga.
Málaga have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.18 against). Villarreal have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.66 expected goals for, 1.72 against).
Both teams scored in 40% of Málaga's recent matches and 80% of Villarreal's; 20% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.
With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kepler's model projects 0.49–1.47 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
No previous meetings in our data.
Málaga vs Villarreal was played on 17 September 2026 (La Liga).
The match was played at Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga.
Yes: it finished Málaga 1–3 Villarreal. Before kickoff, the market had both teams to score at 63%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 50%. Both teams scored in 40% of Málaga's recent matches and 80% of Villarreal's.
Yes: it finished Málaga 1–3 Villarreal. Before kickoff, the market had over 2.5 goals at 59%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 49%. 20% of Málaga's recent matches and 70% of Villarreal's went over 2.5 goals.
The two have no previous meeting in our data.
Kepler's model expects 0.49–1.47 in expected goals, and the single most likely score is 0–1.
Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.
As announced by the clubs.
Matches this season: 5