Valencia vs Villarreal: predictions, H2H and market odds

Valencia have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (0.99 expected goals for, 1.52 against). Villarreal have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.80 expected goals for, 1.38 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Valencia's recent matches and 70% of Villarreal's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Valencia won 2, Villarreal won 5 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Villarreal 2–1 Valencia.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.