Kepler

FixturesLa Liga · Spain · Round 6

Kick-off: Thu, 17 Sept 2026 · 19:30 UTCStadium: Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga

Málaga

1 – 3Full time

Villarreal

Málaga vs Villarreal line-ups

Málaga (4-1-4-1): Alfonso Herrero – Carlos Puga, Ángel Recio, Einar Galilea, José Salinas – Izan Merino – Juan Cruz, David Larrubia, Carlos Dotor, Pablo Martínez – Chupe.

Villarreal (4-4-2): Péter Gulácsi – Sergi Cardona, Renato Veiga, Pau Navarro, Alex Freeman – Tajon Buchanan, Santi Comesaña, Nathan Saliba, Ilias Akhomach – Ayoze Pérez, Alberto Moleiro.

Out for Málaga: Aarón Ochoa, Adam Aznou, Diego Murillo, Fernando Calero, Jens Cajuste, Julen Lobete, Moussa Diarra.

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

FixturesLa Liga · Spain · Round 6

Kick-off: Thu, 17 Sept 2026 · 19:30 UTCStadium: Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga

Málaga

1 – 3Full time

Villarreal

Málaga vs Villarreal line-ups

Málaga (4-1-4-1): Alfonso Herrero – Carlos Puga, Ángel Recio, Einar Galilea, José Salinas – Izan Merino – Juan Cruz, David Larrubia, Carlos Dotor, Pablo Martínez – Chupe.

Villarreal (4-4-2): Péter Gulácsi – Sergi Cardona, Renato Veiga, Pau Navarro, Alex Freeman – Tajon Buchanan, Santi Comesaña, Nathan Saliba, Ilias Akhomach – Ayoze Pérez, Alberto Moleiro.

Out for Málaga: Aarón Ochoa, Adam Aznou, Diego Murillo, Fernando Calero, Jens Cajuste, Julen Lobete, Moussa Diarra.

Line-ups

Confirmed

As announced by the clubs.

Málaga4-1-4-1

Coach · Juan Funes Arjona

1Alfonso Herrero
3Carlos Puga
15Ángel Recio
4Einar Galilea
12José Salinas
23Izan Merino
19Juan Cruz
10David Larrubia
8Carlos Dotor
18Pablo Martínez
9Chupe
25Gulácsi
23Sergi Cardona
12Renato Veiga
6Pau Navarro
3Freeman
17Buchanan
14Santi Comesaña
24Saliba
11Ilias Akhomach
22Ayoze Pérez
10Alberto Moleiro

Villarreal4-4-2

Coach · Iñigo Pérez

Juan Funes ArjonaCoach

Iñigo Pérez

RefereeMiguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Málaga

Bench

13Carlos LópezGK
5Álex PastorDF
25Juan BerrocalDF
31Rafita GarridoDF
6Ramón EnríquezMF
14Rafa RodríguezMF
22Dani LorenzoMF
11Joaquín MuñozFW
17Eneko JauregiFW
21Adrián Niño HerediaFW
32Juan Francisco Fernández MartinFW

Out

Aarón OchoaMeniscus Injury · until 1 Jan
Adam AznouUnknown Injury · until 30 Sept
Diego MurilloCruciate Ligament Injury · until 1 Dec
Fernando CaleroRib Fracture · until 1 Oct
Jens CajusteMuscle Injury · until 12 Oct
Julen LobeteCruciate Ligament Injury · until 30 Jun
Moussa DiarraMuscle Injury · until 15 Oct

Villarreal

Bench

1Luiz JúniorGK
13Rubén GómezGK
2Logan CostaDF
15Santiago MouriñoDF
20Carlos RomeroDF
5Alassane DiattaMF
16Carlos MaciàMF
18Pape GueyeMF
7Gerard Moreno FW
9Georges MikautadzeFW
19Nicolas PépéFW
21Tani OluwaseyiFW

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Málaga vs Villarreal predicted score

Expected goals

0.49–1.47

Most likely score

0–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	50%	63%
Over 2.5	49%	59%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Málaga vs Villarreal odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.57	bet365	62.5%
No	2.50	Betfair	37.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.67	1xbet	59.2%
Under 2.5	2.40	1xbet	40.8%

odds updated 19:13 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Spain

Yellow cards: 4.2 per match
Red cards: 0.6 per match
Fouls: 21.4 per match
Penalties: 0.4 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in La Liga

9 settled picks · ROI −38.9% · average CLV −0.07%

Full track record →