Luton Town vs Stockport County: predictions, H2H and market odds

Luton Town have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.68 expected goals for, 1.48 against). Stockport County have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.71 expected goals for, 1.46 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Luton Town's recent matches and 70% of Stockport County's; 90% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Luton Town won 1, Stockport County won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Luton Town 1–1 Stockport County.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.60–1.57 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.