Luton Town vs Bradford City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Luton Town have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.46 expected goals for, 1.54 against). Bradford City have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 0.82 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Luton Town's recent matches and 30% of Bradford City's; 70% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Luton Town won 1, Bradford City won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Luton Town 2–1 Bradford City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.35–1.06 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.