Leicester City vs Peterborough United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Leicester City have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.33 expected goals for, 1.11 against). Peterborough United have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.04 expected goals for, 2.09 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Leicester City's recent matches and 40% of Peterborough United's; 40% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 72%. Kepler's model projects 1.67–1.43 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.