Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Brazil · Round 30

Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTCStadium: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Flamengo

1 – 0Full time

Fluminense

Flamengo vs Fluminense line-ups

Flamengo (4-2-3-1): Agustín Rossi – Guillermo Varela, Léo Ortiz, Léo Pereira, Alex Sandro – Erick Pulgar, Saúl Ñíguez – Jorge Carrascal, Lucas Paquetá, Samuel Lino – Pedro.

Fluminense (4-2-3-1): Fábio – Guilherme Arana, Julián Millán, Ignácio , Samuel Xavier – Martinelli, Nonato – Yeferson Soteldo, Luciano Acosta, Agustín Canobbio – Rodrigo Castillo.

Out for Flamengo: Ayrton Lucas, Evertton Araújo , Giorgian de Arrascaeta, Jorginho. Out for Fluminense: Alisson , Germán Cano , John Kennedy , Matheus Reis , Renê.

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

FixturesSerie A · Brazil · Round 30

Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTCStadium: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Flamengo

1 – 0Full time

Fluminense

Flamengo vs Fluminense line-ups

Flamengo (4-2-3-1): Agustín Rossi – Guillermo Varela, Léo Ortiz, Léo Pereira, Alex Sandro – Erick Pulgar, Saúl Ñíguez – Jorge Carrascal, Lucas Paquetá, Samuel Lino – Pedro.

Fluminense (4-2-3-1): Fábio – Guilherme Arana, Julián Millán, Ignácio , Samuel Xavier – Martinelli, Nonato – Yeferson Soteldo, Luciano Acosta, Agustín Canobbio – Rodrigo Castillo.

Out for Flamengo: Ayrton Lucas, Evertton Araújo , Giorgian de Arrascaeta, Jorginho. Out for Fluminense: Alisson , Germán Cano , John Kennedy , Matheus Reis , Renê.

Line-ups

Confirmed

As announced by the clubs.

Flamengo4-2-3-1

Coach · José Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim

1Rossi
2Guillermo Varela
3Léo Ortiz
4Pereira
26Alex Sandro
5Erick Pulgar
8Saúl Ñíguez
15Jorge Carrascal
11Lucas Paquetá
16Samuel Lino
9Pedro
1Fábio
13Guilherme Arana
29Julián Millán
4Ignácio
2Samuel Xavier
8Martinelli
16Nonato
30Yeferson Soteldo
32Acosta
17Agustín Canobbio
19Castillo

Fluminense4-2-3-1

Coach · Marcão

José Nunes Alves Sousa JardimCoachMarcão

RefereeRafael Rodrigo Klein

Flamengo

Bench

42AndrewGK
49Dyogo AlvesGK
13DaniloDF
22Emerson RoyalDF
44VitãoDF
77Johnny Monteiro GóesDF
18Nicolás de la CruzMF
7Luiz AraújoFW
14Anthony ValenciaFW
19Gonzalo Plata FW
27Bruno HenriqueFW
30Joaquín FreitasFW

Out

Ayrton LucasThigh Muscle Strain
Evertton Araújo Thigh Muscle Strain
Giorgian de ArrascaetaBroken Wrist
JorginhoRed Card Suspension · until 17 Oct

Fluminense

Bench

98Vitor EudesGK
3Thiago SilvaDF
21Igor RabelloDF
22Juan Pablo FreytesDF
23GugaDF
10GansoMF
35HérculesMF
94OtávioMF
7HulkFW
11Jefferson SavarinoFW
34Wesley NatãFW
90Kevin SernaFW

Out

Alisson Hip Injury
Germán Cano Thigh Muscle Strain
John Kennedy Cruciate Ligament Injury · until 30 Jun
Matheus Reis Unknown Injury
RenêAnkle Injury · until 13 Oct

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Flamengo vs Fluminense predicted score

Expected goals

1.91–0.85

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	59%	50%
Over 2.5	60%	54%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Flamengo vs Fluminense odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.91	WilliamHill	50.0%
No	1.90	bet365	50.0%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.81	Sbo	53.9%
Under 2.5	2.09	Pinnacle	46.1%

odds updated 20:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Brazil

Yellow cards: 4.1 per match
Red cards: 0.4 per match
Fouls: 24.6 per match
Penalties: 0.1 per match

Matches this season: 20

Kepler in Serie A

15 settled picks · ROI −39.4% · average CLV +2.45%

Full track record →