Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Brazil · Round 30

Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTCStadium: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Flamengo

1 – 0Full time

Fluminense

Flamengo vs Fluminense head to head

In their last 9 meetings Flamengo won 4, Fluminense won 3 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo.

4Wins

2Draws

3Wins

12 Apr 2026FluminenseFlamengo121-2
20 Nov 2025FluminenseFlamengo212-1
20 Jul 2025FlamengoFluminense101-0
17 Oct 2024FlamengoFluminense020-2
23 Jun 2024FluminenseFlamengo010-1
11 Nov 2023FlamengoFluminense111-1
16 Jul 2023FluminenseFlamengo000-0
18 Sept 2022FlamengoFluminense121-2
29 May 2022FluminenseFlamengo121-2

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Flamengo vs Fluminense predicted score

Expected goals

1.91–0.85

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	59%	50%
Over 2.5	60%	54%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Flamengo vs Fluminense odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.91	WilliamHill	50.0%
No	1.90	bet365	50.0%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.81	Sbo	53.9%
Under 2.5	2.09	Pinnacle	46.1%

odds updated 20:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Brazil

Yellow cards: 4.1 per match
Red cards: 0.4 per match
Fouls: 24.6 per match
Penalties: 0.1 per match

Matches this season: 20

Kepler in Serie A

15 settled picks · ROI −39.4% · average CLV +2.45%

Full track record →