Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion: predictions, H2H and market odds

Doncaster Rovers have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.64 expected goals for, 1.35 against). Burton Albion have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.38 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Doncaster Rovers's recent matches and 80% of Burton Albion's; 40% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Doncaster Rovers won 2, Burton Albion won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 3 Feb 2026, finished Burton Albion 1–2 Doncaster Rovers.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kepler's model projects 1.30–1.13 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56%.