Derby County vs Birmingham City head to head

In their last 4 meetings Derby County won 1, Birmingham City won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Derby County 1–0 Birmingham City.

1Wins

2Draws

1Wins

21 Mar 2026Derby CountyBirmingham City101-0
26 Dec 2025Birmingham CityDerby County111-1
30 Jan 2022Derby CountyBirmingham City222-2
10 Sept 2021Birmingham CityDerby County202-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Derby County vs Birmingham City predicted score

Expected goals

1.33–1.05

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	55%	53%
Over 2.5	51%	46%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Derby County vs Birmingham City odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.80	bet365	52.6%
No	2.00	10Bet	47.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.10	Betfair	46.4%
Under 2.5	1.81	Pinnacle	53.6%

odds updated 10:20 UTC · 10 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

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Referee

John Busby

England

Yellow cards: 3.6 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 23.2 per match
Penalties: 0.6 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in Championship

28 settled picks · ROI −15.3% · average CLV −3.35%

Full track record →