Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Burton Albion have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.33 expected goals for, 1.17 against). Mansfield Town have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.41 expected goals for, 1.30 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Burton Albion's recent matches and 50% of Mansfield Town's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 4 meetings Burton Albion won 1, Mansfield Town won 0 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, finished Mansfield Town 0–0 Burton Albion.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.23–1.29 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.