Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: predictions, H2H and market odds

Burton Albion have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.17 against). AFC Wimbledon have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (0.74 expected goals for, 1.84 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Burton Albion's recent matches and 10% of AFC Wimbledon's; 30% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Burton Albion won 2, AFC Wimbledon won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 45%. Kepler's model projects 1.40–0.96 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.