Brentford vs Sunderland: predictions, H2H and market odds

Brentford have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.28 expected goals for, 1.37 against). Sunderland have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 1.33 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Brentford's recent matches and 60% of Sunderland's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Brentford won 1, Sunderland won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Jan 2026, finished Brentford 3–0 Sunderland.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.47–0.98 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.