Kepler

FixturesPremier League · England · Round 3

Kick-off: Sat, 5 Sept 2026 · 14:00 UTCStadium: Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford

Brentford

1 – 1Full time

Sunderland

Brentford vs Sunderland head to head

In their last 2 meetings Brentford won 1, Sunderland won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Jan 2026, finished Brentford 3–0 Sunderland.

1Wins

0Draws

1Wins

7 Jan 2026BrentfordSunderland303-0
30 Aug 2025SunderlandBrentford212-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Brentford vs Sunderland predicted score

Expected goals

1.47–0.98

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	56%	53%
Over 2.5	59%	53%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Brentford vs Sunderland odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.80	10Bet	52.6%
No	2.00	bet365	47.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.88	1xbet	52.7%
Under 2.5	2.07	1xbet	47.3%

odds updated 13:49 UTC · 9 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Thomas Bramall

England

Yellow cards: 2.3 per match
Red cards: 0.25 per match
Fouls: 22.5 per match
Penalties: 0.25 per match

Matches this season: 4

Kepler in Premier League

11 settled picks · ROI −22.6% · average CLV −4.33%

Full track record →