Blackpool vs Plymouth Argyle: predictions, H2H and market odds

Blackpool have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.74 expected goals for, 1.29 against). Plymouth Argyle have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.76 expected goals for, 1.00 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Blackpool's recent matches and 70% of Plymouth Argyle's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Blackpool won 0, Plymouth Argyle won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Blackpool 0–4 Plymouth Argyle.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.46–1.49 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.