AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons: predictions, H2H and market odds

AFC Wimbledon have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (0.89 expected goals for, 1.72 against). Milton Keynes Dons have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.25 expected goals for, 1.40 against).

Both teams scored in 20% of AFC Wimbledon's recent matches and 80% of Milton Keynes Dons's; 40% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings AFC Wimbledon won 2, Milton Keynes Dons won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Jan 2025, finished Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 AFC Wimbledon.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kepler's model projects 1.20–1.27 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.