AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

AFC Wimbledon have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (0.92 expected goals for, 1.79 against). Mansfield Town have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.49 expected goals for, 1.29 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of AFC Wimbledon's recent matches and 70% of Mansfield Town's; 40% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings AFC Wimbledon won 1, Mansfield Town won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Mansfield Town 2–2 AFC Wimbledon.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.09–1.43 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55%.